Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (26 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1120 | 37% | 2024-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1138 | 52% | 2024-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2024-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2024-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1218 | 26% | 2022-12-11 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2022-10-15 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1063 | 50% | 2022-10-03 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2022-09-07 | | Won |
| 1140 | 935 | 76% | 2022-08-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2022-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 975 | 62% | 2022-03-04 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1066 | 51% | 2021-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1180 | 1021 | 71% | 2021-07-23 | | Won |
| 1241 | 1000 | 80% | 2021-07-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2021-07-13 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2021-06-27 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1043 | 71% | 2021-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-06-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2021-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2021-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-05-15 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-05-12 | | Won |
| 939 | 1180 | 20% | 2021-04-16 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-04-01 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1081.4 vs 1048.7 has a 54.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).