Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (26 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1074 | 47% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1073 | 51% | 2024-04-23 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1159 | 43% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 960 | 993 | 45% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1079 | 49% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1233 | 21% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1009 | 1128 | 34% | 2022-10-15 | Won |
| 1058 | 1050 | 51% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1208 | 926 | 84% | 2022-08-17 | Won |
| 1077 | 1077 | 50% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 938 | 64% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1012 | 1165 | 29% | 2022-02-12 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1061 | 51% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1140 | 67% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1143 | 1013 | 68% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 1025 | 54% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1008 | 49% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 1173 | 1083 | 63% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1213 | 38% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1195 | 958 | 80% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 1028 | 75% | 2021-05-12 | Won |
| 939 | 1143 | 24% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1083.7 vs 1071.7 has a 51.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).