Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (26 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1074 | 58% | 2024-04-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1154 | 42% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 960 | 998 | 45% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1099 | 50% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1204 | 24% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1089 | 1124 | 45% | 2022-10-15 | Won |
| 1057 | 1075 | 47% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1173 | 32% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1202 | 933 | 82% | 2022-08-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 971 | 60% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1059 | 1166 | 35% | 2022-02-12 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1062 | 48% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1016 | 71% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1264 | 1143 | 67% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 1040 | 52% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 1175 | 1085 | 63% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1188 | 39% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1113 | 1153 | 44% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1220 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-05-12 | Won |
| 939 | 1170 | 21% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1090 vs 1078.8 has a 51.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).