Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (26 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1073 | 52% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1068 | 47% | 2024-04-23 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1132 | 47% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 961 | 955 | 51% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1068 | 48% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1213 | 23% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 1128 | 40% | 2022-10-15 | Won |
| 1056 | 1084 | 46% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1034 | 1173 | 31% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1124 | 914 | 77% | 2022-08-17 | Won |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1036 | 48% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1072 | 1165 | 37% | 2022-02-12 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1048 | 46% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1111 | 70% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1179 | 1021 | 71% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 938 | 66% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 952 | 55% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 1155 | 1115 | 56% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1086 | 56% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1116 | 1130 | 48% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1016 | 73% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1214 | 996 | 78% | 2021-05-12 | Won |
| 939 | 1179 | 20% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1076.3 vs 1063.8 has a 51.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).