Carrier Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 12
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1053 | 54% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1085 | 59% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 996 | 958 | 55% | 2021-09-02 | Won |
| 1103 | 890 | 77% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2021-05-05 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1067 | 1143 | 39% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1018.7 has a 53.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).