Carrier Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Australian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 938 | 59% | 2026-04-25 | | Won |
| 1172 | 1000 | 73% | 2026-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1053 | 42% | 2025-02-21 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1007 | 67% | 2023-11-05 | | Won |
| 1018 | 949 | 60% | 2021-09-02 | | Won |
| 1102 | 872 | 79% | 2021-07-12 | | Won |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-06-20 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2021-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 1204 | 31% | 2021-03-20 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1012.5 has a 52.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).