Carrier Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (11 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 14
Defender wins (Italian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 934 | 50% | 2026-04-25 | Won |
| 1170 | 918 | 81% | 2026-03-08 | Won |
| 1082 | 1053 | 54% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 986 | 974 | 52% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1149 | 967 | 74% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 995 | 949 | 57% | 2021-09-02 | Won |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2021-05-05 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1053 | 1208 | 29% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1010.5 has a 54.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).