Where The Reindeer Dare Not Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 1102 | 1099 | 50% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1065 | 978 | 62% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
| 1006 | 951 | 58% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1020.6 has a 53.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).