Take The Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (22 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 969 | 54% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1179 | 1175 | 51% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2024-04-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 989 | 59% | 2022-10-31 | Won |
| 1094 | 1135 | 44% | 2022-09-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1094 | 56% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1227 | 1231 | 49% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 1120 | 1123 | 50% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 932 | 64% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1084 | 988 | 63% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 992 | 64% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 969 | 1013 | 44% | 2021-11-04 | Won |
| 884 | 1156 | 17% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2021-06-25 | Won |
| 1037 | 1011 | 54% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1143 | 57% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 972 | 80% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 916 | 916 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 988 | 1191 | 24% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 928 | 1077 | 30% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 912 | 965 | 42% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1054.1 vs 1055 has a 49.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).