Absorbing The Thrust
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (14 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 18
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 912 | 72% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1152 | 786 | 89% | 2025-10-18 | Won |
| 1230 | 1011 | 78% | 2025-10-17 | Won |
| 1021 | 1006 | 52% | 2025-10-17 | Won |
| 1069 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-05-16 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1068 | 52% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2024-03-13 | Won |
| 1023 | 901 | 67% | 2023-11-18 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1172 | 37% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 969 | 1031 | 41% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1227 | 1065 | 72% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2021-01-06 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1218 | 25% | 2020-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1080.4 vs 1040.3 has a 55.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).