Defence of St. Oedenrode
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (11 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1222 | 901 | 86% | 2026-02-21 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-05-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2024-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2023-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 953 | 60% | 2023-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 939 | 59% | 2022-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1093 | 954 | 69% | 2021-10-14 | | Won |
| 972 | 926 | 57% | 2021-04-06 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2020-12-29 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1067.1 vs 1001.7 has a 59.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).