Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (14 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2024-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1038 | 52% | 2024-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1263 | 27% | 2024-02-10 | | Lost |
| 919 | 951 | 45% | 2023-02-11 | | Lost |
| 919 | 951 | 45% | 2023-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1043 | 1202 | 29% | 2022-12-13 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1343 | 9% | 2022-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1079 | 1100 | 47% | 2021-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1057 | 46% | 2021-03-25 | | Won |
| 1181 | 1241 | 41% | 2021-02-21 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1084 | 35% | 2021-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2020-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-11-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1030.4 vs 1089.4 has a 41.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).