Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 147 (25 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 68
Defender wins (German): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1197 | 850 | 88% | 2026-05-12 | Won |
| 1072 | 980 | 63% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 1169 | 823 | 88% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1000 | 68% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 1159 | 33% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1030 | 47% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 995 | 1329 | 13% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 913 | 62% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 893 | 923 | 46% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 864 | 973 | 35% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1029.1 vs 1003.8 has a 53.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).