Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (24 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 67
Defender wins (German): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1232 | 1188 | 56% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 1031 | 1181 | 30% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1004 | 82% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 887 | 756 | 68% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1067 | 1042 | 54% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1002 | 73% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1176 | 31% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1087 | 63% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1035 | 40% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1139 | 45% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 1189 | 1186 | 50% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 1019 | 1048 | 46% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1083 | 922 | 72% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 859 | 920 | 41% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1113 | 993 | 67% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1018.2 has a 55.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).