Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (22 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 64
Defender wins (German): 75
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 1059 | 1166 | 35% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1095 | 41% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1025 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 878 | 788 | 63% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 941 | 1054 | 34% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 941 | 1054 | 34% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1133 | 40% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1138 | 941 | 76% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 1202 | 27% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1086 | 66% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1031 | 41% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1188 | 39% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 1170 | 1264 | 37% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 1020 | 1048 | 46% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 889 | 930 | 44% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 927 | 971 | 44% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1006 | 70% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1029.4 vs 1033.9 has a 49.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).