Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (24 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 67
Defender wins (German): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1214 | 1188 | 54% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 1054 | 1181 | 32% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1249 | 1010 | 80% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1024 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 887 | 756 | 68% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 1012 | 939 | 60% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 939 | 60% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1068 | 1095 | 46% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 975 | 962 | 52% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1012 | 71% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1177 | 31% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1087 | 63% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1035 | 40% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1138 | 45% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 1176 | 1170 | 51% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 1053 | 45% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 1064 | 38% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 879 | 932 | 42% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1005 | 990 | 52% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1164 | 947 | 78% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1054 vs 1023.2 has a 54.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).