Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (14 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2026-01-20 | D | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1035 | 50% | 2025-02-23 | | Won |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2023-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2023-05-27 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-03-17 | | Lost |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2022-12-19 | | Tied |
| 780 | 976 | 24% | 2022-10-14 | | Lost |
| 889 | 1000 | 35% | 2022-08-22 | | Tied |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-04-04 | | Won |
| 1013 | 865 | 70% | 2021-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2021-01-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2021-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 894 | 77% | 2020-12-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 983.3 vs 1007.4 has a 46.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).