Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (13 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (Polish): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1083 | 1083 | 50% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
1037 | 1061 | 47% | 2025-02-23 | Won |
896 | 1102 | 23% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
1213 | 1217 | 49% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
946 | 1010 | 41% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
1053 | 914 | 69% | 2022-12-19 | Tied |
766 | 1047 | 17% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
879 | 1010 | 32% | 2022-08-22 | Tied |
1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2021-04-04 | Won |
1014 | 852 | 72% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
999 | 967 | 55% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
977 | 1060 | 38% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
1110 | 970 | 69% | 2020-12-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1003.6 vs 1029.3 has a 46.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).