Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (39 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 55
Defender wins (German): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1172 | 1139 | 55% | 2026-07-05 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2026-02-05 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2025-11-04 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1019 | 53% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 933 | 1035 | 36% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1034 | 1038 | 49% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 970 | 1012 | 44% | 2024-04-12 | Lost |
| 1115 | 984 | 68% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1347 | 17% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1056 | 38% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 948 | 1070 | 33% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1007 | 863 | 70% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1007 | 863 | 70% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 707 | 1015 | 15% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1070 | 70% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 997 | 998 | 50% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1065 | 89% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 879 | 1070 | 25% | 2022-08-24 | Tied |
| 991 | 1036 | 44% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 1342 | 984 | 89% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 964 | 949 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 940 | 1082 | 31% | 2022-02-08 | Won |
| 879 | 1070 | 25% | 2021-09-23 | Tied |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1198 | 1028 | 73% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 914 | 1102 | 25% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1057 | 58% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1030 | 48% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1276 | 1066 | 77% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 1013 | 875 | 69% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1102 | 1120 | 47% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1030 | 980 | 57% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1051.6 vs 1055.7 has a 49.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).