Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (35 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 52
Defender wins (German): 38
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1057 | 47% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 951 | 969 | 47% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1025 | 1013 | 52% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 970 | 1051 | 39% | 2024-04-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1330 | 25% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1056 | 38% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 949 | 991 | 44% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 977 | 863 | 66% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 977 | 863 | 66% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 755 | 1045 | 16% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1014 | 53% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1063 | 89% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 879 | 991 | 34% | 2022-08-24 | Tied |
| 977 | 1036 | 42% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 965 | 951 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 908 | 1073 | 28% | 2022-02-08 | Won |
| 879 | 991 | 34% | 2021-09-23 | Tied |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1183 | 1012 | 73% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 927 | 1102 | 27% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1056 | 53% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1057 | 1029 | 54% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1254 | 1139 | 66% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 875 | 69% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1114 | 1111 | 50% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1024 | 51% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1049.1 has a 48.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).