Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (35 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 50
Defender wins (German): 38
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1063 | 40% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 967 | 963 | 51% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1021 | 943 | 61% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 943 | 1034 | 37% | 2024-04-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1262 | 22% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 916 | 1031 | 34% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 916 | 1031 | 34% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1031 | 916 | 66% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 1031 | 916 | 66% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 911 | 1154 | 20% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 946 | 887 | 58% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 946 | 887 | 58% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 859 | 1000 | 31% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
| 921 | 930 | 49% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1070 | 43% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1358 | 1248 | 65% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
| 993 | 1358 | 11% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 908 | 1034 | 33% | 2022-08-24 | Tied |
| 1021 | 1021 | 50% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 979 | 965 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 932 | 987 | 42% | 2022-02-08 | Won |
| 908 | 1168 | 18% | 2021-09-23 | Tied |
| 1361 | 954 | 91% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 1040 | 49% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1271 | 19% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1061 | 66% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1070 | 1033 | 55% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 1033 | 74% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 1027 | 860 | 72% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1114 | 1060 | 58% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1033 | 921 | 66% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1017.5 vs 1033.5 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).