Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 918 | 54% | 2025-12-01 | Lost |
| 949 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 993 | 991 | 50% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1114 | 62% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 934 | 992 | 42% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 949 | 983 | 45% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 979.8 vs 1026.4 has a 43.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).