Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 994 | 1226 | 21% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 944 | 1226 | 16% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1114 | 62% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 958 | 1031 | 40% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 975 | 983 | 49% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 974 vs 1104.3 has a 32.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).