Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 948 | 999 | 43% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 874 | 1116 | 20% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 874 | 1116 | 20% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1075 | 57% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 1005 | 1055 | 43% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 939 | 983 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 956.7 vs 1034.4 has a 38.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).