Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 974 | 1037 | 41% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 954 | 1037 | 38% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1002 | 1008 | 49% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 873 | 1213 | 12% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 873 | 1213 | 12% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1079 | 68% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 959 | 1032 | 40% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 964 | 983 | 47% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 973.1 vs 1063.4 has a 37.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).