Morning Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (15 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (American): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1289 | 20% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1040 | 53% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1095 | 69% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 753 | 1233 | 6% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 1223 | 16% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1158 | 1158 | 50% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1231 | 1215 | 52% | 2021-01-23 | Won |
| 1050 | 1012 | 55% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1126 | 37% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 901 | 966 | 41% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1215 | 41% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1110 | 41% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1105 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.3 vs 1140.3 has a 38.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).