Morning Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (American): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1039 | 51% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1250 | 1107 | 69% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 769 | 1250 | 6% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1223 | 30% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1165 | 36% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1151 | 1141 | 51% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1126 | 1177 | 43% | 2021-01-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 999 | 62% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1118 | 38% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 923 | 967 | 44% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1177 | 46% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 996 | 1164 | 28% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1126.5 has a 40.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).