Morning Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (17 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1271 | 1245 | 54% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1059 | 72% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 739 | 1220 | 6% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 997 | 1226 | 21% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1030 | 65% | 2021-08-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1052 | 62% | 2021-08-04 | Won |
| 1243 | 1243 | 50% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1076 | 1215 | 31% | 2021-01-23 | Won |
| 1046 | 953 | 63% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1128 | 37% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 933 | 967 | 45% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1215 | 41% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1095 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1076.9 vs 1125 has a 43.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).