Taking San Stefano
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (7 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 973 | 60% | 2024-03-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 1056 | 45% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1144 | 38% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 879 | 1012 | 32% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 967 | 937 | 54% | 2020-08-06 | Lost |
| 964 | 984 | 47% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 973 | 58% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 993.9 vs 1011.3 has a 47.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).