Failure to Communicate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (20 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (French): 30
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2026-02-20 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-11-15 | | Won |
| 1066 | 967 | 64% | 2025-07-12 | | Won |
| 1119 | 967 | 71% | 2025-05-25 | | Won |
| 1188 | 1020 | 72% | 2025-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1205 | 24% | 2024-11-13 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2024-06-23 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2022-12-15 | | Lost |
| 980 | 1040 | 41% | 2022-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2022-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2022-05-01 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2021-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 992 | 53% | 2021-08-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2021-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1228 | 1028 | 76% | 2020-10-08 | | Won |
| 1051 | 996 | 58% | 2020-07-07 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1100 | 45% | 2020-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1123 | 959 | 72% | 2020-01-18 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1040.7 has a 52.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).