First Day of Diadem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (5 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Free French): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1087 | 37% | 2021-08-31 | Lost |
| 924 | 1009 | 38% | 2021-03-28 | Won |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1008 | 78% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1233 | 24% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1069.8 vs 1102 has a 45.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).