Showdown in Syria
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (7 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy): 9
Defender wins (Indian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 1018 | 63% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
| 948 | 945 | 50% | 2020-08-23 | Won |
| 1099 | 992 | 65% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1099 | 992 | 65% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 982 | 1216 | 21% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 1998-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1062.3 has a 47.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).