Feast Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (28 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 42
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1074 | 49% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 998 | 993 | 51% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 885 | 892 | 49% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 886 | 1013 | 32% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1075 | 844 | 79% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 1089 | 971 | 66% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1044 | 927 | 66% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1039 | 1133 | 37% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 886 | 981 | 37% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1048 | 973 | 61% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 918 | 1009 | 37% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1059 | 1164 | 35% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1059 | 1202 | 31% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1148 | 991 | 71% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1031 | 73% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 914 | 1061 | 30% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 886 | 1006 | 33% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1226 | 45% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1112 | 1014 | 64% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1120 | 62% | 2020-02-27 | Won |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1044 | 55% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1220 | 20% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1150 | 40% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1029.4 vs 1046.4 has a 47.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).