Feast Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (26 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 40
Defender wins (German): 50
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1074 | 49% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 960 | 993 | 45% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 885 | 873 | 52% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 903 | 1013 | 35% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1089 | 844 | 80% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 1031 | 956 | 61% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1044 | 934 | 65% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 999 | 994 | 51% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 1116 | 39% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 903 | 982 | 39% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 995 | 973 | 53% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 918 | 1009 | 37% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1015 | 1154 | 31% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 1248 | 21% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1032 | 76% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 937 | 1051 | 34% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 903 | 1006 | 36% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1161 | 53% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1151 | 1014 | 69% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 1205 | 1116 | 63% | 2020-02-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1044 | 56% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1157 | 40% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1041.3 has a 48.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).