One-Eyed Jacques
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (40 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (French): 59
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-05-31 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1086 | 43% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 960 | 1137 | 27% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2024-07-12 | Lost |
| 1013 | 835 | 74% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1066 | 1046 | 53% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1111 | 1046 | 59% | 2024-04-01 | Won |
| 943 | 980 | 45% | 2024-02-18 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1210 | 51% | 2023-02-09 | Lost |
| 946 | 1058 | 34% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2022-05-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 984 | 55% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 883 | 1116 | 21% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 982 | 956 | 54% | 2021-05-29 | Won |
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
| 927 | 956 | 46% | 2021-05-21 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1037 | 1089 | 43% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1081 | 60% | 2021-03-06 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1159 | 48% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 1058 | 1248 | 25% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1028 | 903 | 67% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1149 | 921 | 79% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1060 | 54% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1028 | 1264 | 20% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1015 | 1108 | 37% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 985 | 1027 | 44% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 749 | 1257 | 5% | 2020-09-23 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1121 | 37% | 2020-08-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 1228 | 24% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 1092 | 52% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 884 | 937 | 42% | 2020-04-19 | Won |
| 1181 | 980 | 76% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1031 | 819 | 77% | 2020-03-08 | Won |
| 1172 | 1100 | 60% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1084 | 42% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1157 | 969 | 75% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1117 | 1011 | 65% | | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1038.5 vs 1053.4 has a 47.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).