One-Eyed Jacques
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (38 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 60
Defender wins (French): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1083 | 43% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 993 | 1138 | 30% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1070 | 52% | 2024-07-12 | Lost |
| 1002 | 841 | 72% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1066 | 1018 | 57% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1111 | 1018 | 63% | 2024-04-01 | Won |
| 954 | 958 | 49% | 2024-02-18 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1213 | 50% | 2023-02-09 | Lost |
| 946 | 1039 | 37% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1080 | 45% | 2022-05-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 984 | 55% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 926 | 938 | 48% | 2021-05-29 | Won |
| 1011 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
| 905 | 938 | 45% | 2021-05-21 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1143 | 32% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1050 | 49% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1040 | 68% | 2021-03-06 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1149 | 49% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 1058 | 1208 | 30% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1012 | 901 | 65% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1150 | 921 | 79% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1063 | 48% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1012 | 1266 | 19% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1012 | 1108 | 37% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 985 | 1027 | 44% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 753 | 1225 | 6% | 2020-09-23 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1092 | 41% | 2020-08-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 1233 | 24% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 1126 | 1092 | 55% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 884 | 937 | 42% | 2020-04-19 | Won |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1009 | 830 | 74% | 2020-03-08 | Won |
| 1172 | 1108 | 59% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1157 | 969 | 75% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1027 | 1084 | 42% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1105 | 1011 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1038.7 vs 1045.5 has a 49.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).