Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (13 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 17
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1007 | 47% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1025 | 954 | 60% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1098 | 1203 | 35% | 2022-08-16 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2022-06-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 951 | 61% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1027 | 51% | 2021-02-23 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1079 | 58% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1097 | 1169 | 40% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1070 | 60% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1226 | 37% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057.3 vs 1051.4 has a 50.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).