Long Day of Confusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (15 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 912 | 60% | 2023-09-03 | Won |
| 1180 | 1245 | 41% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 982 | 991 | 49% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1030 | 55% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 991 | 983 | 51% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
| 1072 | 1083 | 48% | 2022-11-17 | Won |
| 1109 | 1018 | 63% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 945 | 1282 | 13% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
| 1213 | 945 | 82% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 980 | 989 | 49% | 2021-09-11 | Won |
| 1282 | 1137 | 70% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 1072 | 1082 | 49% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 945 | 1117 | 27% | 2019-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1074.4 has a 50.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).