Long Day of Confusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (British): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 912 | 62% | 2023-09-03 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2023-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2023-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2023-01-15 | | Lost |
| 977 | 983 | 49% | 2023-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2022-11-23 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-11-17 | | Won |
| 1025 | 1028 | 50% | 2022-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 1283 | 32% | 2022-01-01 | | Lost |
| 985 | 989 | 49% | 2021-09-11 | | Won |
| 1283 | 1209 | 60% | 2020-05-01 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-11-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2019-11-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1055.4 vs 1054 has a 50.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).