New and Untested
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (21 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1058 | 45% | 2026-09-28 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2026-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2025-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2022-11-19 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2022-11-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2022-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2022-06-25 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-05-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2022-05-03 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-04-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1209 | 23% | 2022-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1000 | 77% | 2021-10-08 | | Lost |
| 912 | 1000 | 38% | 2021-03-30 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-11-07 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1234 | 24% | 2020-10-15 | | Lost |
| 989 | 999 | 49% | 2020-07-08 | | Won |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2020-04-20 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1149 | 31% | 2020-01-11 | | Tied |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-01-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2019-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1013 | 57% | 2019-11-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1031 vs 1055.7 has a 46.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).