The Closer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (24 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Canadian): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1309 | 23% | 2024-05-09 | Lost |
| 999 | 996 | 50% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 866 | 937 | 40% | 2023-01-03 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1062 | 54% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1233 | 1003 | 79% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 1203 | 1083 | 67% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1203 | 914 | 84% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 992 | 864 | 68% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1003 | 61% | 2021-07-19 | Won |
| 1014 | 1309 | 15% | 2021-07-12 | Lost |
| 1062 | 891 | 73% | 2021-07-11 | Won |
| 914 | 951 | 45% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 951 | 1015 | 41% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 914 | 1203 | 16% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1079 | 49% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
| 1018 | 984 | 55% | 2020-09-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-06-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1042 | 56% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 1201 | 914 | 84% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1040 | 1153 | 34% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 980 | 1029 | 43% | 2019-11-23 | Tied |
| 999 | 978 | 53% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1039 | 1015 | 53% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1038.4 has a 52.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).