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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (7 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Polish): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1405 | 1397 | 51% | 2024-07-11 | Won |
| 794 | 1012 | 22% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 929 | 1213 | 16% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1170 | 47% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 1208 | 1046 | 72% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 1110 | 41% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 960 | 1225 | 18% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1070.1 vs 1167.6 has a 36.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).