Ma Deuce Delivers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (30 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (American): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1217 | 996 | 78% | 2026-07-20 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-12-10 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1136 | 46% | 2022-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2022-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2022-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2022-05-10 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2022-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2022-03-13 | | Lost |
| 908 | 1080 | 27% | 2021-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2021-10-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 889 | 65% | 2021-10-05 | | Tied |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2021-05-28 | | Won |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2020-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2019-11-09 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1126 | 32% | 2019-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2019-09-04 | | Won |
| 1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2019-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2019-04-13 | | Won |
| 1123 | 985 | 69% | 2019-04-13 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-04-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2019-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2019-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2019-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1344 | 1010 | 87% | 2019-02-02 | | Won |
| 1080 | 928 | 71% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1152 | 37% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1123 | 919 | 76% | 2019-01-17 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1043.5 has a 50.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).