Ma Deuce Delivers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (28 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (American): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 982 | 58% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 917 | 866 | 57% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1137 | 46% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1135 | 41% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1023 | 50% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1135 | 49% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
| 1167 | 1211 | 44% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1010 | 53% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 907 | 1075 | 28% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1075 | 40% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 1042 | 879 | 72% | 2021-10-05 | Tied |
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
| 917 | 886 | 54% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1110 | 42% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 981 | 1110 | 32% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2019-09-04 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2019-06-16 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 932 | 1340 | 9% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1154 | 985 | 73% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 958 | 964 | 49% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 1042 | 1117 | 39% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1042 | 74% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1059 | 47% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1089 | 901 | 75% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1012 | 60% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1098 | 44% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1154 | 919 | 79% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1038.6 has a 51.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).