Second Step
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (15 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 994 | 77% | 2024-05-31 | Lost |
| 914 | 1011 | 36% | 2023-03-20 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1089 | 66% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2021-06-01 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1088 | 42% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 877 | 1099 | 22% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1151 | 970 | 74% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 900 | 998 | 36% | 2019-02-28 | Won |
| 1012 | 1107 | 37% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1107 | 40% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1087 | 53% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1048.3 has a 52.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).