Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1189 | 26% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-15 | Lost |
| 996 | 1059 | 41% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1149 | 48% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 971 | 937 | 55% | 2020-09-14 | Lost |
| 877 | 1099 | 22% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1026.2 vs 1099.3 has a 39.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).