Heart of Darkness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (11 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (South African): 9
Defender wins (Italian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1211 | 42% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1051 | 44% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1031 | 52% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 977 | 1310 | 13% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1005 | 981 | 53% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 917 | 1116 | 24% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1011 | 923 | 62% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1152 | 1021 | 68% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1052.9 has a 50.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).