Italian Behemoth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (16 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 21
Defender wins (South African): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 1019 | 66% | 2025-07-14 | Lost |
| 950 | 1109 | 29% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2023-08-20 | Lost |
| 910 | 1015 | 35% | 2023-03-29 | Won |
| 1142 | 1109 | 55% | 2023-01-06 | Lost |
| 1130 | 961 | 73% | 2022-12-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1047 | 39% | 2022-01-04 | Lost |
| 1126 | 947 | 74% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 976 | 1077 | 36% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2020-01-24 | Won |
| 977 | 1079 | 36% | 2019-06-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1216 | 21% | 2019-06-04 | Won |
| 925 | 1263 | 13% | 2019-05-14 | Won |
| 1313 | 1080 | 79% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
| 1174 | 1109 | 59% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1151 | 1239 | 38% | 2019-01-09 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.3 vs 1082.9 has a 46.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).