Last Charge at Umbrega
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (8 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 10
Defender wins (Italian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 1004 | 40% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 953 | 966 | 48% | 2023-11-29 | Won |
| 1133 | 1149 | 48% | 2021-08-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1099 | 51% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
| 1313 | 985 | 87% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1193 | 938 | 81% | 2019-07-31 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1170 | 51% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1124.4 vs 1039.4 has a 61.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).