Baron's Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (19 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1176 | 47% | 2026-08-01 | Won |
| 1138 | 1046 | 63% | 2026-07-31 | Won |
| 1181 | 1196 | 48% | 2026-07-31 | Won |
| 1030 | 1011 | 53% | 2026-07-31 | Won |
| 963 | 1133 | 27% | 2026-07-31 | Lost |
| 989 | 929 | 59% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2021-12-22 | Won |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2021-06-14 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2021-05-30 | Won |
| 1002 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 988 | 938 | 57% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
| 937 | 1070 | 32% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 1254 | 952 | 85% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 964 | 51% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 1060 | 46% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 994 | 1008 | 48% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1025 | 1119 | 37% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1051.6 vs 1043.8 has a 51.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).