Baron's Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (14 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 929 | 57% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 986 | 1019 | 45% | 2021-12-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 1095 | 41% | 2021-06-14 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-05-30 | Won |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2020-06-08 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 978 | 983 | 49% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
| 877 | 1099 | 22% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1019 | 80% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 964 | 54% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 1157 | 1057 | 64% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 994 | 1001 | 49% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1027.3 has a 52.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).