Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (9 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2026-02-01 | D | Won |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2025-04-25 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2022-10-16 | | Won |
| 1097 | 983 | 66% | 2022-06-17 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-12-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2021-08-13 | | Won |
| 980 | 1092 | 34% | 2020-04-11 | | Lost |
| 971 | 980 | 49% | 2018-12-01 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1143 | 20% | 2018-11-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 981.7 vs 1043.2 has a 41.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).