Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1023 | 49% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 955 | 1011 | 42% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 958 | 1019 | 41% | 2021-12-25 | Won |
| 969 | 985 | 48% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1015 | 1091 | 39% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 1015 | 44% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 922 | 1110 | 25% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 972.4 vs 1036.3 has a 40.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).