The Flying Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1242 | 18% | 2022-11-19 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1110 | 22% | 2019-03-31 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1091 | 68% | 2019-03-03 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1150 | 60% | 2019-03-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2018-12-01 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1060.2 vs 1131.8 has a 39.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).