Rebel’s Roost
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (3 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (North Korean): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1075 | 1047 | 54% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1108.3 vs 1020.7 has a 62.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).