Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (27 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 42
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 1093 | 36% | 2023-11-15 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1073 | 69% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1108 | 1015 | 63% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1042 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1102 | 913 | 75% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1176 | 56% | 2019-06-06 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1187 | 54% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1031 | 66% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1097 | 1058 | 56% | 2019-04-29 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1131 | 51% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 933 | 1095 | 28% | 2019-03-02 | Lost |
| 876 | 1059 | 26% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1073 | 64% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1063 | 54% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1093 | 69% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1062 | 58% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 851 | 82% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 975 | 1264 | 16% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 978 | 61% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1079.4 vs 1067.3 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).