Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (26 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
994 | 1092 | 36% | 2023-11-15 | Lost |
1095 | 1051 | 56% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
1045 | 1075 | 46% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
1093 | 1015 | 61% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
1080 | 979 | 64% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
900 | 998 | 36% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
971 | 1223 | 19% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
1220 | 1202 | 53% | 2019-06-06 | Lost |
1220 | 1164 | 58% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
1078 | 1057 | 53% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
1097 | 1110 | 48% | 2019-04-29 | Lost |
1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
1010 | 1100 | 37% | 2019-03-02 | Lost |
877 | 1099 | 22% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
1202 | 1090 | 66% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
1092 | 1010 | 62% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
1107 | 1087 | 53% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
1151 | 858 | 84% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
1039 | 958 | 61% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1080.6 vs 1075.3 has a 50.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).