Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1069 | 36% | 2025-11-23 | Won |
| 1015 | 1170 | 29% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1088 | 43% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 942 | 960 | 47% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 989 | 1049 | 41% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 920 | 70% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1166 | 913 | 81% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1022 | 61% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1208 | 1012 | 76% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1047 | 988 | 58% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1141 | 883 | 82% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 1338 | 1343 | 49% | 2018-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1088.7 vs 1048.3 has a 55.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).