Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (9 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 24
Defender wins (German): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 938 | 53% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 977 | 1031 | 42% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1116 | 917 | 76% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1018 | 978 | 56% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1023 | 60% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1151 | 996 | 71% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1043 | 923 | 67% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1082.3 vs 995.8 has a 62.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).