Siberia Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 7
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1259 | 18% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 882 | 1011 | 32% | 2020-08-31 | Won |
| 1093 | 1090 | 50% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 1140 | 27% | 2019-01-04 | Lost |
| 985 | 971 | 52% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 985 vs 1094.2 has a 34.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).