Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (19 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 27
Defender wins (South Korean): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 1070 | 70% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 1025 | 988 | 55% | 2024-08-09 | Won |
| 1185 | 1238 | 42% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1039 | 73% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 968 | 1010 | 44% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 885 | 1128 | 20% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 983 | 52% | 2020-12-08 | Won |
| 969 | 1037 | 40% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2019-07-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-06-19 | Won |
| 995 | 1083 | 38% | 2019-01-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2018-09-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1110 | 39% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2018-05-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1143 | 35% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 1129 | 1039 | 63% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 946 | 1040 | 37% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1099 | 80% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1057.9 vs 1070.3 has a 48.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).