A Small Stack and a Schnapps
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1242 | 36% | 2025-11-08 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2021-06-28 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-06-10 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2021-03-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2019-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1149 | 60% | 2018-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1110 | 65% | 2018-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1053 | 64% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2018-04-28 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2018-04-25 | | Won |
| 987 | 1226 | 20% | 2018-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1273 | 38% | 2017-12-30 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1101 vs 1123.7 has a 46.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).