A Small Stack and a Schnapps
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1249 | 35% | 2025-11-08 | Won |
| 973 | 1094 | 33% | 2021-06-28 | Won |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2021-06-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
| 1041 | 1095 | 42% | 2019-08-25 | Lost |
| 1214 | 973 | 80% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1217 | 1177 | 56% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2018-10-29 | Lost |
| 976 | 1064 | 38% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1138 | 1249 | 35% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 1274 | 31% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 987 | 1226 | 20% | 2018-03-04 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1207 | 45% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1113.4 vs 1115.8 has a 49.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).