Balloons, Cakes and Ponies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (7 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 938 | 69% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1085 | 57% | 2018-11-22 | Lost |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1016 | 59% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1264 | 925 | 88% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1097.7 vs 1041.9 has a 57.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).