Balloons, Cakes and Ponies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (7 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 977 | 58% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 1203 | 1002 | 76% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1030 | 64% | 2018-11-22 | Lost |
| 977 | 1083 | 35% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1016 | 51% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1238 | 923 | 86% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1143 | 31% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1086.9 vs 1024.9 has a 58.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).