The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1062 | 35% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 937 | 1033 | 37% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 881 | 963 | 38% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1016 | 73% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1223 | 1036 | 75% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 1037 | 53% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 980 | 1016 | 45% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
| 1128 | 976 | 71% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 1084 | 958 | 67% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
| 1223 | 1184 | 56% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1065 | 49% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 1030.2 has a 55.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).