The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-11-05 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1033 | 51% | 2022-01-31 | | Won |
| 979 | 970 | 51% | 2022-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2020-12-17 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-11-12 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2020-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2018-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2018-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 961 | 74% | 2018-08-06 | | Won |
| 1008 | 959 | 57% | 2018-08-03 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-08-01 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2018-07-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1073.4 vs 983.6 has a 62.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).