The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1061 | 41% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 914 | 960 | 43% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2020-12-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1223 | 927 | 85% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 988 | 1099 | 35% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
| 1193 | 938 | 81% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 1075 | 959 | 66% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1082 | 47% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1094.8 vs 988.8 has a 64.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).