Ghostly Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1031 | 52% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
| 1036 | 996 | 56% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
| 884 | 837 | 57% | 2023-04-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 938 | 77% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1001 | 51% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2018-03-21 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1214 | 29% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1077.7 vs 1004.9 has a 60.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).