Ghostly Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 994 | 55% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
| 975 | 990 | 48% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
| 986 | 890 | 63% | 2023-04-15 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1002 | 78% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1123 | 850 | 83% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1030 | 999 | 54% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-03-21 | Lost |
| 1160 | 945 | 78% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1216 | 29% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1114.8 vs 1032.3 has a 61.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).