Mormal Forest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (21 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (French): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1017 | 69% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1153 | 1112 | 56% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1105 | 1100 | 51% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1148 | 980 | 72% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1220 | 992 | 79% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1004 | 71% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 1075 | 1129 | 42% | 2018-04-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1220 | 33% | 2018-03-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 1107 | 43% | 2018-03-23 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2018-01-24 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1075 | 55% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2017-12-24 | Won |
| 1078 | 1099 | 47% | 2017-12-09 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1058 | 53% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1096 | 48% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2017-11-12 | Tied |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1109.3 vs 1079.4 has a 54.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).