Mormal Forest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (20 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (French): 59
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 958 | 76% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1130 | 1126 | 51% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1129 | 1056 | 60% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1214 | 991 | 78% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1016 | 69% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 1084 | 1125 | 44% | 2018-04-06 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1214 | 35% | 2018-03-27 | Won |
| 1082 | 1100 | 47% | 2018-03-23 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1002 | 68% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2018-01-24 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1084 | 49% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
| 980 | 1016 | 45% | 2017-12-24 | Won |
| 1044 | 1037 | 51% | 2017-12-09 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1058 | 51% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1094 | 53% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1190 | 27% | 2017-11-12 | Tied |
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1089.5 vs 1083.2 has a 50.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).