Mormal Forest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (22 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (French): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2021-04-05 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2021-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2020-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-06-20 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2019-04-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1344 | 12% | 2018-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-10-05 | | Won |
| 1218 | 992 | 79% | 2018-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2018-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-06-02 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1106 | 1218 | 34% | 2018-03-27 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1120 | 45% | 2018-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2018-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2018-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1055 | 61% | 2017-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1017 | 54% | 2017-12-24 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1080 | 53% | 2017-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1101 | 39% | 2017-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2017-11-12 | | Tied |
| 1147 | 1134 | 52% | 2017-11-08 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1108.9 vs 1074.2 has a 54.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).