Ambush on South Knob
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 18
Defender wins (American): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1222 | 834 | 90% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1018 | 1003 | 52% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 1006 | 913 | 63% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1218 | 20% | 2020-03-03 | Lost |
| 970 | 1032 | 41% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1201 | 970 | 79% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 877 | 970 | 37% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
| 1133 | 950 | 74% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1039 | 861 | 74% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1039 | 889 | 70% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1069 | 44% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1130 | 47% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1051.8 vs 986.6 has a 59.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).