Ambush on South Knob
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 12
Defender wins (American): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 824 | 88% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1032 | 992 | 56% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 957 | 988 | 46% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1064 | 38% | 2020-03-03 | Lost |
| 1147 | 934 | 77% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 879 | 1012 | 32% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
| 1136 | 996 | 69% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1134 | 862 | 83% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1134 | 890 | 80% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1069 | 43% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1129 | 49% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1140 | 47% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1076.4 vs 993.2 has a 61.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).