Ambush on South Knob
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 12
Defender wins (American): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 827 | 90% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1062 | 991 | 60% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 957 | 950 | 51% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1123 | 30% | 2020-03-03 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1027 | 51% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1184 | 936 | 81% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 879 | 936 | 42% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1003 | 68% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1100 | 861 | 80% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1070 | 44% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1126 | 49% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1140 | 52% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1072.3 vs 990.8 has a 61.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).