Along the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1052 | 47% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 943 | 1161 | 22% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1116 | 999 | 66% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1034 | 1112 | 39% | 2020-06-20 | Lost |
| 960 | 1219 | 18% | 2018-04-19 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1161 | 53% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1145 | 38% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1115.9 has a 40.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).