Along the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1051 | 49% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 946 | 947 | 50% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1135 | 999 | 69% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1102 | 37% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1034 | 1112 | 39% | 2020-06-20 | Lost |
| 960 | 1191 | 21% | 2018-04-19 | Lost |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1144 | 38% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1047.4 vs 1061.9 has a 47.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).