Along the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (7 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1052 | 53% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1011 | 1051 | 44% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1034 | 1112 | 39% | 2020-06-20 | Lost |
| 963 | 1116 | 29% | 2018-04-19 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1145 | 28% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1024.1 vs 1067.7 has a 43.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).