The Block on the Trail to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (Japanese): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1009 | 61% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1248 | 1051 | 76% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 920 | 1078 | 29% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 925 | 58% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1075 | 52% | 2019-02-09 | Lost |
| 1089 | 910 | 74% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 925 | 1058 | 32% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 966 | 1154 | 25% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 1145 | 38% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1031.7 vs 1060.6 has a 45.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).