The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (36 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (American): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1078 | 40% | 2025-10-19 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1078 | 40% | 2025-10-19 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1040 | 50% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1122 | 45% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1158 | 60% | 2025-01-07 | Lost |
| 966 | 844 | 67% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 940 | 936 | 51% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1043 | 51% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 988 | 937 | 57% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2023-07-12 | Lost |
| 959 | 1043 | 38% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1035 | 51% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1425 | 1431 | 49% | 2022-11-18 | Lost |
| 999 | 954 | 56% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1080 | 999 | 61% | 2022-01-31 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 896 | 1066 | 27% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 1220 | 22% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1220 | 999 | 78% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 974 | 55% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 888 | 884 | 51% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1048 | 960 | 62% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 988 | 1047 | 42% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1158 | 960 | 76% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
| 1070 | 1035 | 55% | 2018-09-20 | Won |
| 1220 | 1059 | 72% | 2018-03-19 | Won |
| 974 | 1143 | 27% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1135 | 43% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 861 | 982 | 33% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 882 | 982 | 36% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1040.4 vs 1033.8 has a 50.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).