Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 13
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 928 | 886 | 56% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-03-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 998 | 55% | 2019-10-26 | Won |
| 1005 | 1037 | 45% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1017 | 984 | 55% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1017 | 984 | 55% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 999.8 vs 987.7 has a 51.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).