Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 13
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 903 | 63% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 918 | 1086 | 28% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 950 | 936 | 52% | 2023-03-15 | Won |
| 880 | 989 | 35% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 975 | 1055 | 39% | 2019-10-26 | Won |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 964 | 70% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1114 | 964 | 70% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1007.2 vs 1026.7 has a 47.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).