Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 13
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 998 | 42% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 876 | 1109 | 21% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 909 | 939 | 46% | 2023-03-15 | Won |
| 881 | 964 | 38% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 996 | 957 | 56% | 2019-10-26 | Won |
| 1093 | 1117 | 47% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1193 | 870 | 87% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1193 | 870 | 87% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1009.9 vs 1005.2 has a 50.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).