Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1097 | 58% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 917 | 969 | 43% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1252 | 996 | 81% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1096 | 1193 | 36% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 1252 | 749 | 95% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 1004 | 1003 | 50% | 2020-05-02 | Lost |
| 870 | 995 | 33% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
| 913 | 1093 | 26% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1058 | 51% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 1001 | 892 | 65% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 974 | 49% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
| 1059 | 892 | 72% | 2017-08-12 | Won |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
| 998 | 887 | 65% | 2017-04-05 | Won |
| 1004 | 1090 | 38% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1004 | 877 | 68% | 2016-10-11 | Won |
| 1100 | 976 | 67% | 2011-09-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1032 vs 983.6 has a 56.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).