Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (22 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 949 | 56% | 2025-05-14 | Won |
| 954 | 984 | 46% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 993 | 55% | 2024-02-08 | Won |
| 788 | 957 | 27% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 966 | 1120 | 29% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 987 | 892 | 63% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 954 | 1133 | 26% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 939 | 896 | 56% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 987 | 996 | 49% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1252 | 996 | 81% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 996 | 73% | 2021-03-15 | Won |
| 996 | 931 | 59% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 853 | 998 | 30% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 1152 | 31% | 2019-10-17 | Lost |
| 1055 | 936 | 66% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 973 | 1004 | 46% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1004 | 62% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 983.3 vs 992.2 has a 48.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).