Making a Break for It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (9 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 37
Defender wins (German (SS)): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 907 | 70% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1188 | 1218 | 46% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1131 | 999 | 68% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2019-06-24 | Won |
| 1049 | 899 | 70% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1253 | 1157 | 63% | 2018-12-19 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2017-09-24 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1092.4 vs 1042.8 has a 57.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).